today's clever and funny article about success and failure . . . . .
Here's a meaty exerpt:
"If you spend your life only learning from survivors, buying books about
successful people and poring over the history of companies that shook
the planet, your knowledge of the world will be strongly biased and
As best I can tell, here is the trick: When
looking for advice, you should look for what not to do, for what is
missing as Phil Plait suggested, but don’t expect to find it among the
quotes and biographical records of people whose signals rose above the
noise. They may have no idea how or if they lucked up.
What you can’t
see, and what they can’t see, is that the successful tend to make it
more probable that unlikely events will happen to them while trying to
steer themselves into the positive side of randomness. They stick with
it, remaining open to better opportunities that may require abandoning
their current paths, and that’s something you can start doing right now
without reading a single self-help proverb, maxim, or aphorism.
keep in mind that those who fail rarely get paid for advice on how not
to fail, which is too bad because despite how it may seem, success boils
down to serially avoiding catastrophic failure while routinely
absorbing manageable damage."